Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levanger · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levanger 5-2 Follo
Original prediction
Levanger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.0% | 88.2% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.96 | 13.1% | 7.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 11.52 | 7.9% | 4.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.5–011%
Predicted outcome
Levanger
Probability
88.2%
Model confidence
88.2%
Levanger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LevangerWWWLL
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FolloWLDLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LevangerFollo
83.3Attack38.9
64.8Defence31.5
72.2Form24.1
71.4Power34.4
4.26xG0.70