GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panetolikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Levadiakos 0-2 Panetolikos

Original prediction

Panetolikos

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7852.8%32.4%-20.4 pts
Draw3.4827.0%26.4%-0.7 pts
Away4.6520.2%41.3%21.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 3.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–210%

Predicted outcome

Panetolikos

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Panetolikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LevadiakosLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PanetolikosWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LevadiakosPanetolikos
0.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
8.0Power91.7
1.01xG1.86
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