Levadiakosvs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 8/31/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levadiakos 0-2 Panathinaikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.36 | 17.4% | 20.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.2% | 24.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 58.4% | 55.3% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40