Levadiakosvs
Olympiakos Piraeus
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Levadiakos 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.65 | 9.7% | 22.9% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 19.1% | 26.1% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.2% | 51.0% | -20.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00