Esiliiga B
Levadia U19
Home
Tartu Kalev
AwayThe model projects 3.18 xG for Levadia U19 and 2.19 xG for Tartu Kalev — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Levadia U19 holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Levadia U19's Attack Score (94) exceeds Tartu Kalev's Defensive Stability (27), and Tartu Kalev's attack (73) similarly tests Levadia U19's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 5.36 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 5 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Levadia U19's Attack Score (94) vs Tartu Kalev's Defensive Stability (27) and Tartu Kalev's attack (73) vs Levadia U19's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesLevadia U19Tartu KalevProbability breakdown
Levadia U19 leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Levadia U19 Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Levadia U19 host Tartu Kalev in Esiliiga B. Levadia U19 have recorded LWWWWL in recent matches while Tartu Kalev arrive with a run of LLLWWW.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Levadia U19 are generating a commanding xG advantage — 3.18 projected against 2.19 for Tartu Kalev. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.99 is the clearest signal in the model that Levadia U19 are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Tartu Kalev have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Tartu Kalev carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Tartu Kalev are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠Levadia U19 have been conceding 2.06 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Recent form
Levadia U19
Tartu Kalev
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev?
GoalVio's model predicts Levadia U19 to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.