Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LesothoLLLDW
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GabonWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LesothoGabon
25.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
41.9Power51.0
0.98xG1.04