Lesotho U20vs
Angola U20
COMPLETEDWorld · COSAFA U20 Championship · 9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angola U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lesotho U20 0-5 Angola U20
Original prediction
Angola U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 54.80 | 1.7% | 31.1% | 29.4 pts |
| Draw | 16.60 | 5.7% | 21.9% | 16.2 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 92.6% | 46.9% | -45.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-45.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Angola U20
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Angola U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00