GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/21/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gandzasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lernayin Artsakh are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Gandzasar are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gandzasar hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 81.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the First League, while Gandzasar holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gandzasar

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

Gandzasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lernayin ArtsakhLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
GandzasarW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Lernayin ArtsakhGandzasar
16.7Attack79.0
33.3Defence84.0
50.0Form87.7
37.5Power81.8
0.83xG2.80
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