Leones Negros UDGvsVenados FC

Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.