Leones Negros UDGvsTlaxcala

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.