Leones Negros UDGvsTlaxcala

Leones Negros UDG are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.