Leones Negros UDGvsTepatitlán

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.