Leones Negros UDGvsTapatío

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.