Leones Negros UDGvsMonarcas

Leones Negros UDG are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.