Leones Negros UDGvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/19/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00