GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leones Negros UDGMineros de Zacatecas
77.8Attack100.0
44.4Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
63.5Power68.8
1.96xG1.78
View match centre →