GGOALVIO

Leones Negros UDG logoLeones Negros UDGvsMineros de Zacatecas logoMineros de Zacatecas

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/10/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGDLDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasDDLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leones Negros UDGMineros de Zacatecas
77.8Attack100.0
44.4Defence41.7
66.7Form66.7
63.5Power68.8
1.96xG1.78
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