Leones Negros UDGvs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/29/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00