Leones Negros UDGvs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/5/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20