GGOALVIO

Leones Negros UDG logoLeones Negros UDGvsDorados logoDorados

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/15/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGDorados
77.8Attack66.7
44.4Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
63.5Power68.0
1.71xG1.51
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