GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.5 against 62.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Correcaminos UatLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
77.8Attack91.7
44.4Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
63.5Power62.0
2.13xG1.74
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