GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/31/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.5 against 62.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatDDWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
77.8Attack91.7
44.4Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
63.5Power62.0
2.13xG1.74
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