GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/28/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.5 against 62.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
77.8Attack91.7
44.4Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
63.5Power62.0
2.13xG1.74
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