Leones Negros UDGvs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/31/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cimarrones are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00