Leones Negros UDGvsCelaya

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Celaya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.