Leones Negros UDGvsCDS Tampico Madero

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.