Leones Negros UDGvs
CDS Tampico Madero
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/14/2025, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20