Leones Negros UDGvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Leones Negros UDG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40