GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/23/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Leones Negros UDGCancún
77.8Attack16.7
44.4Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
63.5Power13.2
2.40xG1.10
View match centre →