GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/9/2024, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CancúnLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGCancún
77.8Attack16.7
44.4Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
63.5Power13.2
2.40xG1.10
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