Leones Negros UDGvsCA La Paz

Leones Negros UDG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.