Leones Negros UDGvs
CA La Paz
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/28/2024, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leones Negros UDG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40