GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/12/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atlante FC are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.5 against 63.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGAtlante FC
77.8Attack48.4
44.4Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
63.5Power63.9
1.02xG1.36
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