GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/21/2024, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.5 against 63.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones Negros UDGDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWLDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGAtlante FC
77.8Attack48.4
44.4Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
63.5Power63.9
1.02xG1.36
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