Leones Negros UDGvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Leones Negros UDG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.