Leones Negros UDGvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.