Leones Negros UDGvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Leones Negros UDG are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.