GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Leones FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

22.0%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones FCLDLDW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union MagdalenaLWDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Leones FCUnion Magdalena
20.4Attack50.7
53.7Defence71.0
31.5Form60.9
38.3Power62.0
0.42xG1.38
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