Leones FCvs
Barranquilla
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leones FC 0-1 Barranquilla, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leones FC 1-1 Barranquilla
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 35.1% | -19.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 30.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.0% | 34.9% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.53 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Leones FC 0–1 Barranquilla
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Leones FCLLDLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarranquillaDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leones FCBarranquilla
20.0Attack38.7
46.7Defence54.8
25.3Form36.6
33.8Power44.8
0.68xG1.17