Leones del Nortevs
Tecnico Universitario
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones del Norte · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leones del Norte 0-0 Tecnico Universitario, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leones del Norte 0-1 Tecnico Universitario
Original prediction
Leones del Norte
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.6% | 51.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.3% | 29.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.1% | 19.1% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Leones del Norte 0–0 Tecnico Universitario
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Leones del Norte
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Leones del Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00