Leones del Nortevs
Orense SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones del Norte · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leones del Norte 0-0 Orense SC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leones del Norte 1-0 Orense SC
Original prediction
Leones del Norte
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.0% | 48.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 29.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.7% | 22.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Leones del Norte 0–0 Orense SC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Leones del Norte
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Leones del Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80