GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Copa Ecuador · 7/21/2024, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones del Norte · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones del Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Copa Ecuador, while Leones del Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones del Norte

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Leones del Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones del NorteDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Leones del NorteMushuc Runa SC
33.3Attack26.7
100.0Defence66.7
66.7Form46.7
68.0Power49.7
1.11xG0.75
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