GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones del Norte · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones del Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manta FC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Liga Pro, while Leones del Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones del Norte

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

26.1%

Leones del Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones del NorteLLWDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Manta FCLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Leones del NorteManta FC
33.3Attack15.3
65.3Defence58.3
44.4Form23.6
49.4Power35.4
0.93xG0.46
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