GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones del Norte are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones del NorteDLDDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LDU de QuitoDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Leones del NorteLDU de Quito
33.3Attack31.9
65.3Defence72.2
44.4Form48.6
49.4Power52.8
0.59xG0.61
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