Leones del Nortevs
LDU de Quito
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leones del Norte are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60