Liga ProLiga Pro
Wednesday, 15 July 202623:00Last updated 10:12
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

Home
D
11
Full time
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

Away
DL
Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
GoalVio prediction
63% confidence
Leones del Norte(63%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Leones del Norte
63%
Draw
25%
Deportivo Cuenca
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leones del Norte
34
Deportivo Cuenca
18
Defence
Leones del Norte
66
Deportivo Cuenca
66
Momentum
Leones del Norte
33
Deportivo Cuenca
17
Danger (xG)
Leones del Norte
0.90
Deportivo Cuenca
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Leones del Norte)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Leones del Norte)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
D
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
DLW

Probability breakdown

63% confidence
Leones del Norte63%
Draw25%
Deportivo Cuenca12%

Leones del Norte leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Leones del Norte head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra in mixed form (D), while Deportivo Cuenca arrive in mixed form (DL). Leones del Norte have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Cuenca over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Leones del Norte (66/100) and Deportivo Cuenca (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Leones del Norte have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Deportivo Cuenca have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Leones del Norte to win with 63% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Leones del Norte 6275%, Draw 2495%, Deportivo Cuenca 1230%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Leones del Norte 0Draws 10 Deportivo Cuenca
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Leones del Norte
D11
Deportivo Cuenca

Recent form

Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

D
vs Deportivo Cuenca
15 Jul 2026
11
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

D
@ Leones del Norte
15 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Aucas
12 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Libertad
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts Leones del Norte to win with 63% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more