Leones de Rosariovs
Lujan
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leones de Rosario 0-0 Lujan, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leones de Rosario 0-1 Lujan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 30.9% | 26.6% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.60 | 34.1% | 35.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.0% | 37.9% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Leones de Rosario 0–0 Lujan
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Leones de RosarioDDWWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LujanWWLWD
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Leones de RosarioLujan
31.0Attack49.4
73.6Defence74.7
51.7Form63.2
54.5Power63.6
0.49xG0.74