Leones de Rosariovs
Lugano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leones de Rosario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lugano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
30.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80