GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones de Rosario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Español are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Español hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones de RosarioWLWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo EspañolDDDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Leones de RosarioDeportivo Español
30.3Attack26.1
69.7Defence79.7
47.0Form47.8
51.4Power54.1
0.45xG0.44
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