Leones de Rosariovs
Atletico Atlas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leones de Rosario 0-0 Atletico Atlas, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leones de Rosario 1-0 Atletico Atlas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.9% | 36.4% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.4% | 37.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Leones de Rosario 0–0 Atletico Atlas
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Leones de RosarioWLWDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico AtlasWWWLD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Leones de RosarioAtletico Atlas
32.0Attack29.3
70.7Defence72.0
49.3Form46.7
52.9Power51.6
0.58xG0.47