GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/22/2023, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Leon are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leon hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Leagues Cup, while Leon holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leon

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Leon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeonLWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Vancouver WhitecapsWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LeonVancouver Whitecaps
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence44.4
100.0Form11.1
83.3Power29.5
2.14xG0.94
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